Also from Splitifi: Criterica · Criterica Intelligence — outcome, settlement & duration prediction for institutional capital

Splitifi
BUILT FOR
Litigation FundersLaw FirmsInsurance Carriers
The Methodology

Not generative AI.
Calibrated outcomes.

Law has operated on judgment and precedent for two centuries. Splitifi produces the first calibrated probability infrastructure — not inference, not text generation, not legal search.

OUTCOME DISTRIBUTION
REAL CASE OUTCOMES
CALIBRATED SIGNAL

"We don't summarize law. We predict it."

The Distinction

Where Splitifi sits in the landscape.

Legal AI Tools
Generative text from legal documents
Plausible, not calibrated
Cannot quantify error rate
No holdout validation
Output varies with temperature
Splitifi
Deterministic probability from resolved outcomes
statistically gated, calibration-tested
Documented error rate per model
12-month temporal holdout
Same input returns same output
Legal Search
Document retrieval
No outcome prediction
No judicial behavioral data
No calibration discipline
No probability output
How It Works

From court record to calibrated probability.

01
Data

Real court records, deduplicated, normalized to a common schema. Every resolved outcome, every jurisdiction, real data only. Zero synthetic rows in production.

02
Training

One model per jurisdiction and practice-area combination. Time-aware train/test splits enforce strict temporal separation — no future data leakage by construction.

03
Gating

Minimum discrimination gate. calibration-error verification. 12-month holdout validation on unseen data. Failed models are logged, published, and excluded from production.

04
Production

factor attribution on every prediction. Glass-box explainability — which factors drove the outcome, direction, and magnitude. No black-box inference.

Production Gates

What it takes to ship a model.

Gate
Threshold
Notes
Discrimination Minimum
Hard floor
Models below the floor are excluded from production
Calibration Error
Pass required
Expected Calibration Error gate on holdout set
Temporal Holdout
12-month unseen window
No future data leakage by construction
Leakage Audit
Manual + automated
Feature-level review; offending models demoted
Registry Status
production / experimental / failed / suspended
All entries documented in the registry
What This Means

Who the methodology serves.

For Attorneys

A probability you can defend.

A calibrated outcome score with factor attribution you can interrogate, explain to a client, and defend under cross-examination. Not a summary. Not a recommendation. A number with a documented error rate.

For Litigation Funders

IRR modeling on real signal.

IRR and MOIC modeling built on calibrated win probability, settlement range, and duration estimates — not analyst heuristics. Production models across 22 litigation finance categories.

For Legal AI Companies

The deterministic layer that makes your LLM defensible.

Language models infer. Splitifi measures. The deterministic prediction layer that grounds your AI product in calibrated probability when a general counsel asks how you got the number.

Ready to Diligence It

The methodology survives technical diligence.

discrimination scores, calibration-error reports, holdout curves, attribution logs, and the full model registry are available under NDA for qualified data room review.